Market Analysis

At TopGunsTrading. our primary goal is to help our visitors and subscribers to become more successful in their investing endeavors. In short, we strive to make trading and investing easier for our visitors and subscribers.

One of the most important things to recognize in the world of investing is that "a rising tide lifts all boats." This simple Wall Street cliche reminds investors that a goodly portion of their success in their investment portfolios can be attributed to the market environment. As investors found in the late 1990's, during a roaring bull market, even chimpanzees throwing darts at the Wall Street Journal were nearly as effective as seasoned pros. Yet, on the other hand, most investors found it difficult to perform during the ensuing bear market period from March 2000 through early 2003. (Although, we are pleased to report that the majority of our Chief Investment Strategist's clients actually made money during the worst bear market in a generation.)

The point is that it is vital to keep your portfolio "in tune" with the big-picture market environment. You need to understand and embrace the idea that markets travel in cycles and that your portfolio strategy MUST be able to adapt to the ever-changing environment. For example, what worked well during the last market cycle will inevitably under-perform during the current one.

A case in point would be the leadership of the last two Bull Market cycles. In the late 1990's it was tech, tech, and tech that helped lead the bulls to the Promised Land. However, this time around, it's all about energy and real assets. And trust me when I say that if you are still holding the leaders from the "bubble bull," your portfolio is not a happy place right now.

How does one manage to "stay in tune with the environment?" For starters, be sure to check out our Daily State of the Markets report which is easily accessible on our home page and is COMPLETELY FREE to all visitors (so be sure to tell your friends, family, and colleagues). The report is definitely NOT the typical rehash of the news and is penned by 18-year market professional and TGT Co-Founder David D. Moenning. (And while Dave admits to NOT being a professional broadcaster, at the request of members, he provides an audio version of the report to facilitate multi-tasking while being kept up to speed on the State of the Markets.)

To make sure that we stay focused on the big-picture the very first thing we do each week is to check in on the prevailing big-picture conditions, we pen our "Big Picture" report, which is also COMPLETELY FREE to all visitors and easily accessible on our home page. The report has a wide following outside of TGT and has been featured in publications at MarketWatch, Zacks, MarketFN, as well as industry magazines.

In addition, you might want to take a peek at our Top Gun Market Models and Risk Manager reports each week. These reports focus on the importance of staying in line with conditions by diligently reviewing such relatively mundane and slow-moving issues as:

  • Economic Conditions
  • Market Valuations
  • The Health of the Market's Trend
  • Market Internals
  • Market Momentum
  • Inflation
  • Interest Rates.

So in closing, please feel free to use any of our Free Services as often and for as long as you'd like. We're glad you're here!

Wishing you all the best in your investing endeavors,

The Team at TopGunsTrading.